Why market timing is a fallacy and it’s time in the market that counts


This 554 word blog post considers the important of time in the market rather than attempting to time the market during periods of heightened market volatility. Written on 11th October 2018.



There’s a lot for investors to worry about. High market valuations, rising interest rates, the prospect of a no-deal Brexit and escalating trade tensions fuelled by Donald Trump all raise the likelihood of greater market volatility. When markets do become more volatile, with investor sentiment turning negative and resulting in short-term falls in value, it can be tempting to try and time the markets. Timing the markets involves attempting to sell before the equity markets hit the bottom, and then buy again before they start to rise. It sounds good in theory. In practice, it doesn’t usually work out that way. Instead, you could find yourself selling low and buying high.